Ballard Well Within the Margin of Error!

Greg Ballard is within four percentage points!

(If you look hard enough, turns out the results are already available)

From the Indianapolis Star

Poll results
October 25, 2007

Editor’s note: An earlier version of these poll questions and an accompanying story reported different poll results. Those versions have been revised to present results that would more closely reflect voter turnout based on 2004 election results in Indiana.
This Indianapolis Star/WTHR poll of 400 Marion County residents who are likely mayoral voters was done Oct. 21-24, 2007. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

The mayoral race
If the election for mayor were held today and the candidates were Greg Ballard for the Republicans, Bart Peterson for the Democrats and Fred Peterson for the Libertarians, for whom would you vote?
Greg Ballard 39%
Bart Peterson 43%
Fred Peterson 5%
None of these/other 1%
Not sure 12%

When it comes to your support of (the candidate you said you would vote for in the previous question) would you say your mind is made up, or could you still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?
Greg Ballard supporters: 69% mind is made up; 29% could still be persuaded; 2% not sure.
Bart Peterson supporters: 73% mind is made up; 26% could still be persuaded; 1% not sure.

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job Bart Peterson is doing as mayor of Indianapolis?
Approve 50%
Disapprove 40%
Not sure 10%

The council race
If the election for city-county council were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate, the Democratic candidate or the Libertarian candidate to represent you on the Indianapolis city council?
Republican candidate 40%
Democratic candidate 32%
Libertarian candidate 6%
None of these/other 2%
Not sure 20%

(See the rest of the results, including how people feel about Monroe Gray and the direction of Indianapolis below the fold)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Monroe Gray is doing as the City-County Council president?
Approve 22%
Disapprove 37%
Not sure 41%

Generally, do you approve or disapprove of the job the City-County Council is doing?
Approve 41%
Disapprove 38%
Not sure 21%

On principle, do you think people who are employed by the City of Indianapolis or Marion County, including firefighters or police, should or should not be allowed to run for the City-County Council?
Should be allowed 69%
Should not be allowed 24%
Not sure 7%

Issues facing Indianapolis
For each of these issues facing the city of Indianapolis, do you consider it a major problem to be solved, a minor problem, or no real problem?
Major problem; Minor problem; No real problem; Not sure
Property taxes; 90%; 7%; 2%; 1%
Crime; 88%; 11%; 1%; -
Education; 77%; 16%; 5%; 2%
Taxes in general; 76%; 16%; 6%; 2%
Abandoned houses; 61%; 31%; 4%; 4%
Job creation; 55%; 34%; 8%; 3%
Infrastructure needs such as streets and sidewalks; 47%; 44%; 7%; 2%
Consolidation of government services, such as fire protection; 33%; 38%; 21%; 8%
Of the issues you said were a major problem in the previous question, which one is the most important?
Property taxes 27%
Crime 27%
Education 18%
Taxes in general 15%
Job creation 4%
Not sure 4%
Consolidation of government services 2%
Infrastructure needs 2%
Abandoned houses 1%

Thinking about your own financial situation and household budget, how much of a burden do you consider your property taxes—a major burden, a minor burden, or not much of a burden?
Major burden 44%
Minor burden 33%
Not much of a burden 21%
Not sure 2%

Five years from now, do you expect to still live in Marion County? If no, do you think you’ll be living in central Indiana outside of Marion County, someplace else in Indiana, or outside of Indiana?
Yes, living in Marion County 73%
No, not in Marion County, but still in central Indiana 8%
No, someplace else in Indiana 4%
Outside of Indiana 9%
Not sure 6%

Emphasis added in the first question by Hoosier Access.