August 27th, 2008 by Josh Gillespie

Does Indiana still have a chance for Hoosier VP?

(Originally posted at Prosper Group Think, but reprinted here with permission)The GOP has unveiled its convention agenda and US Rep Mike Pence is scheduled to speak on Wednesday, traditionally VP day.

Now, this may mean nothing- but VP speculation is by definition completely baseless. Here’s why Pence would be a good choice:

  1. Mike Pence would absolutely destroy Joe Biden in a debate. I mean, it wouldn’t even be close.
  2. Like John McCain, Pence cannot be painted as just another Bush lackey. He is known for opposing some of Bush’s worst mistakes- including the failed Medicaid Prescription Drug debacle. He’s also known for opposing the massive spending increases of the Bush Administration.
  3. The recent surge in the polls for McCain has come, in part, because of a slow return of Republicans back into the fold. Adding Pence to the ticket may speed that return of Conservatives and also blunt the potential negative impact of Bob Barr. (Look, he’s polled as high as 7% in some states)
  4. (Read more after the leap)

  5. Two words. GAS PRICES. Mike Pence may have saved the Republicans from complete annihilation this year by organizing the GOP Energy revolt in August. The generic Congressional ballot has improved for Republicans for the first time since before 2006- largely due to to this issue.
  6. One unmeasured item in polls is the relative enthusiasm of the various camps. Obama’s people are highly motivated as evidenced by his ability to raise significant amounts of money, turnout large audiences, and field significant operations in states like Indiana. McCain’s army, however, is still reeling from a horrible election for Republicans in 2006. Although there is a gathering enthusiasm amongst Republicans fueled both by McCain’s recent surge and an excellent month of beating the Democrats over gas prices, more enthusiasm is needed. Pence could bring that excitement in full force.

Let’s be frank. This is the X factor in this Election. During 2004, when I would return home to Ohio and visit my church, everyone was involved in the Bush re-election effort. Because my old church folks knew I was involved in politics everyone wanted to tell me how they were volunteering. This year- nothing. Mike Pence would invigorate this crowd that is so essential to putting together the army needed to turn out our voters. We need to even the odds there. The polls may have McCain ahead, but if our people aren’t motivated it won’t be worth a hill of beans.

And, in the end, Pence is a far better choice for VP than Bayh. Bayh is too poll-tested and careful to ever be more than what he is. And that’s too bad for him. For a Democrat, he’s actually relatively palatable. He just doesn’t have the courage (his own Presidential campaign lasted one week). If he ever developed it, he’d be a force to be reckoned with.

I’m pushing for Pence.

7 Responses to “Does Indiana still have a chance for Hoosier VP?”

  1. Personally I would like to see Pence as well. But I think there are several others who would work equally as well.

    I find your enthusiasm point to be the most critical. People keep talking about whether or not Hillary supporters will switch to McCain–and that may happen to some degree. But the real question is will Hillary supporters be turned off in large numbers and NOT VOTE. The same goes for this youth enthusiasm that we see for Obama because he is a “different kind of politician”. As time goes on (and they see the different kind of politician, Biden, going around with him) will they be turned off and stay home?

    The same goes for McCain. It is not that the conservative vote is going to switch to Obama. One of two things can happen with them: they either go Libertarian or they stay home. Either is bad for McCain.

    All that being said, the main work will be done on the part of the Presidential candidate not the VP.

  2. It should also be noted that Pence was a loud and vocal critic of President Bush’s amnesty plan for illegal aliens.

  3. Which also puts him at odds with McCain. I’m not sure that it is a significant enough issue to keep them apart, but it doesn’t help.

    McCain was on the Tonight Show on Monday and he talked about picking a VP. He basically said that you pick a VP as someone who is on the same page as you are. Leno had suggested that he pick Hillary and McCain was pointing out how he respects her, but disagrees with her.

    Of course, this underscores how important his choice is for VP just because it gives a bit more insight into what his central beliefs are.

  4. drvannostrand Says:
    August 27th, 2008 at 10:55 am

    There may be some others who do it like Mike Pence, but not a whole lot.

    Maybe Eric Cantor. Not Mitt Romney or Tom Ridge. Certainly not Joe Lieberman.

  5. Cantor was the one that I had in mind. My hesitancy on Pence is that I’m not sure if I want him tied to McCain for the long-term. But maybe I’m being overly concerned.

  6. I had the good fortune to debate this very issue with the congressman on monday night, he seems to think it may be romney, I told him if you want the best possible candidate with regards to the oil crisis it’s a no brainer-Sarah Palin.

  7. let me say though that I’d go for pence first (duh)

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