Archive for October 18th, 2008

With national polls tightening this week, to just 2 points in likely voters on national Gallup Poll, a couple battleground states are also moving toward McCain. With Florida polling slightly to McCain and Ohio polling dead even (Rasmussen) the electoral college projections will be moved back to dead heat too this week.

What does all this mean? That Get Out the Vote efforts, the legal ones at least, are very important to Republicans. ACORN-style fraud efforts will continue and I think the public is wearying of Democrats useage of ACORN tactics to pad the numbers.

FL Men Drift to McCain, Sunshine State Stays Steady in SurveyUSA Tracking

In an election for President of the United States in Florida today, absentee balloting underway and early voting about to begin, Republican John McCain edges Democrat Barack Obama 49% to 47%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV Tampa, WFOR-TV Miami, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola, and WFTX-TV Cape Coral.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 3 weeks ago, almost nothing has changed in the Florida data, at a time when the world has changed profoundly. Then, the Dow Jones was at 11,143. Today: 20% lower. Banks have failed, insurance companies have been nationalized. But smooth sailing on the Florida poll tracking graphs. True: men have swung 9 points to McCain since SurveyUSA’s last poll

There is slight movement to McCain in Southeast Florida, which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale. There is offsetting movement to Obama in Central Florida, which includes Orlando, and in Southwest Florida, which includes Tampa. Unique to Florida, and unlike other states that SurveyUSA is polling: those in Florida who tell SurveyUSA they have already voted disproportionately back McCain. The sample size is small, so caution is warranted, but unlike SurveyUSA findings in Ohio, New Mexico, Georgia, Iowa, and North Carolina, where early voters disproportionately favor Obama, in Florida, McCain leads by 8 among those who have already voted, and is tied among those who have not yet cast a ballot but who are determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to do so.

Reporting by Frugal Hoosiers makes you wonder:

There’s a reason Ackerson needs to spend his time arguing that he’s from Indiana instead of talking about the economy, national defense, or a host of other issues that Hoosiers care about more than the fact that his ancestors farmed in Opossum Trot in 1835. That’s because, prior to launching his campaign for Congress, he spent most of his life in Maryland.

Ackerson has a spotty voting record here in the Hoosier state. He missed voting in the 4th district congressional race completely in 2006, probably because he was registered to vote in Maryland. That registration is still valid, according to the State of Maryland voter registration system. In case he’s wondering, his polling place is still at the Potomic Methodist Parish Center.

Best post title of the week goes to FH for the headline on this one: “Nels Ackerson and His Terrapin Values .”

Hoosiers just don’t take to Nels Ackerson, it seems:

Hoosier Access Radio returns today at 3:00pm.  This week’s live podcast/webcast will feature:

• Congressman Dan Burton - We’ll get his perspecitve on the Palin rally as well as discuss his “NO” votes on both bailout bills
• Republican Candidate for the 7th CD, Gabrielle Campo
• Libertarian Candidate for House District 100 Ed Angleton
• Recapping the Sarah Palin rally in Noblesville

Tomorrow’s program promises to be interesting.  We may even have a special surprise guest on the show.  Stay tuned.

 

 Sarah Palin Rally October 17th Deer Creek [43:10m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

The Podcast is downloadable from iTunes. Go to the iTunes link over on the right hand side of this page if you haven’t subscribed to Hoosier Access Radio yet.