Archive for the ‘Polls’ Category

Survey USA has a new poll out, and it shows some very interesting results in both the presidential race and the gubernatorial race (presidential crosstabs here).

Incumbent Republican Governor Mitch Daniels leads Democratic challenger Jill Long Thompson by 5 points, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati.

Today, it’s Daniels and Lt. Governor Becky Skillman 50%, Long Thompson and running mate Dennie Oxley 45%. Among men, Daniels leads by 8 points; among women, Daniels leads by 3. 15% of Republicans cross over to vote for the Democratic ticket; 22% of Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican ticket. Independents favor Daniels by 3 points.

On its face, that’s a typical result, right?

Another poll, another lead for Mitch. Even JLT’s polling shows Mitch in the lead.

So why are certain Democrat blogs so happy and joyful?

In a word? Schadenfreude; Wagner and Cook never liked JLT anyway.

They’re also delusional (you don’t merely “cling” to a 5 point lead when even your candidate’s polling shows your opponent ahead, along with every other poll; their spin is truly hilarious to behold).

Let’s look for a moment at the polling sample.

(Read more below the fold) (more…)

I’ve had a number of lengthy email exchanges with blog readers and friends (most of them outside of the state of Indiana) who have expressed curiosity about the imminent Indiana primary and how this, the most Republican of states, will turn when it comes to a Democrat presidential primary. This post is an attempt to synthesize and combine those conversations into a coherent discussion of the Democrat presidential primary.

Warning; monster post follows.

(The monster can be found after the leap) (more…)