If the latest Howey/Gauge Market Research poll says anything about the Governor’s race, it’s that it’s essentially over and Jill Long Thompson’s campaign is D.O.A. for election day.
Daniels is poised for a resounding victory. The governor leads in the Fort Wayne media market 63-31 percent; in South Bend 66-31 percent; Indianapolis 65-29 percent; Louisville 64-25 percent; while the Chicago market is tied at 44 percent. Thompson leads among African-Americans by only a 56-41 percent margin. Daniels’ standing with African-Americans has increased 14 percent since our August poll. Daniels is winning 37 percent of the Democratic vote - more than one in three - and among independents 64-21 percent.
Daniels is also getting 40 percent of the Obama vote. Gov. Daniels’ re-elect stood at 59/33 percent. Mitch Daniels re-elect support is among the strongest in the nation for a Republican holding a major office, Davis said.
Howey went on to say:
The numbers bear out our analysis: that the Thompson campaign is one of the worst gubernatorial campaigns we’ve ever witnessed.
If being 12% down in the South Bend Tribune/WSBT poll is “confidence” what is being down 31 percent? That must be the “We’ve got them right where we want them” kind of feeling.
The poll didn’t just cover the governor’s race. It also looked at the presidential race, the 3rd Congressional district race as well as a brief look at the two other statewide races. The good and, what could be, very bad news after the leap. (more…)
Remember a few years back when you would get those annoying robocalls or sales calls during dinner? Remember when they suddenly stopped? Remember who is responsible for that? Well, if you read this blog, you’re politically astute enough to know that the answer to that last question is Attorney General Steve Carter. Turns out, Carter is not running for re-election after two terms in office.
Steve Carter may not be known by many people (at least that’s what doing phone banks told me), but more than the Do-Not-Call List, he’s also pursued fraudulent absentee ballot voting in the Region and most recently, Carter has been working out a deal with MySpace and other social networking sites to keep skeezy older guys from committing internet crimes against Indiana’s tech savvy youth.
Politically though, things are about to get interesting. And that includes the State GOP Convention where Carter’s replacement will be chosen.
(Read more after the leap) (more…)